Vision's mishandling of the Olympic Village (as seen in Oct. '09) has hurt their re-election chances
In this morning's Globe and Mail, City Hall watcher Frances Bula reports that Mayor Gregor Robertson's negatives are skyrocketing and if an election were held today he would be in a dead heat with an NPA opponent. As we have discussed before, when the NPA gets a candidate to run against Vision the parties are virtually neck and neck, according to a recent poll by Justason Marketing.
This follows on the heels of pro-Vision commentator Allen Garr admitting that the NPA were serious contenders for the crown in 2011 in his most recent column.
According to the Justason poll, Mayor Gregor Robertson's mishandling of the Olympic Village file is one of voter's main concerns about his leadership. His negative approval ratings went from 30% in August rising up to 60% in November. The Justason poll finds that 45% of decided voters would support Vision Vancouver and 30%, NPA. A statistical tie is evident only in a hypothetical test of an undeclared mayoral candidate.
In addition, the poll finds that if Coun. Suzanne Anton were to run against Robertson, she would be within 3 points of the sitting Mayor, which is a virtual tie.
The most important factor revealed in the Justason poll is that the momentum is clearly on the NPA's side, with Vision in a free fall.
As we have stated here before, the Olympic Village curse is catching up with Vision Vancouver. It took down the previous two governments and could take down a third.
This poll is an invitation for someone to finally throw their hat into the ring for the NPA, knowing that they stand a fighting chance of getting elected in 2011.
- post by Mike