Now that Carole James has gone down to defeat, will Vancouver Mayor Gregor Robertson become the NDP's new saviour?
Now that NDP leader Carole James has been served up a crushing defeat in the BC election, speculation is sure to rise as to who will become her replacement. The obvious front-runner is former NDP MLA, now Mayor of Vancouver Gregor Robertson.
You can expect there will be a lot of pressure on James to step down in the coming months. She's had two shots at forming a majority government, and it's unlikely the party membership will provide her with a third opportunity. Although many of my NDP contacts believe she wants to stay on for a three-peat of her own.
If James does step aside, as many expect her to do, it opens up the race for someone like Gregor Robertson. A man who clearly has aspirations well beyond the Mayor's chair. Given the NDP won't likely hold a full-blown leadership race for at least a year or so, he will have lots of time to decide whether he wants to bail. If you recall, Robertson never finished his one-term as MLA as he quit to seek the leadership of the Vision Vancouver party.
We suspect His Worship will soak up all the attention he gets in the next few months as people ponder his future political prospects. However, at the end of the day, there are likely two or three NDP MLAs that have both the party machinery and membership beind them to win any kind of contest against Robertson. Thus, we expect he'll be around in 2011 to attempt a two-peat, something that hasn't happened since Mayor Philip Owen.
Check out our new online poll and have your say as to whether you think Mayor Roberston should become the new leader of the NDP.